What the evidence says
Muscle memory mechanisms specific to transgender individuals undergoing gender-affirming hormone therapy (GAHT) have not been directly studied. One narrative review states plainly that "this area has not been explored in those undergoing GAHT," leaving the topic without primary human data in this population.
The broader literature on myonuclei-based muscle memory that this topic borrows from is itself unsettled. A comprehensive review and a separate systematic review and meta-analysis, cited in one source, found no clear evidence for muscle memory via myonuclei retention in either animal or human studies, and the same source describes the phenomenon as "not observed in many studies or not retained long term." A second source, however, describes primary studies pointing the other way: in mice, myonuclear numbers were retained for at least 3 months after testosterone withdrawal even though muscle cross-sectional area returned to baseline within 3 weeks; in an observational study of sedentary men, powerlifters, and current and former androgenic-steroid users, myonuclei numbers per fibre stayed stable across groups despite longitudinal declines in muscle cross-sectional area; and a small cross-sectional study of recreational strength trainees found higher myonuclei density 4 years after steroid cessation than at baseline.
Epigenetic evidence is thinner and points in different directions depending on population. In androgenic-steroid users generally, DNA methylation and histone acetylation "can persist" after steroid cessation, though no source gives a magnitude or duration for that persistence. For transgender individuals specifically, the only claim available is speculative: one review raises, without empirical support, the possibility that epigenetic marks from prior training "would be easily modified or overridden" by the hormonal changes of GAHT.
Where the evidence is direct and measured, it concerns physical performance rather than the underlying cellular mechanism. U.S. Air Force data show transgender women's physical performance declining by as much as 31% as testosterone levels fell over 2 years of feminizing hormone therapy. A separate longitudinal analysis found handgrip strength declining 7-13% and countermovement jump declining 23-29% after 1 year of testosterone suppression. Neither of these performance studies measures myonuclei counts or epigenetic marks directly; they measure functional outcomes only.
The link between the two bodies of evidence — cellular retention mechanisms and athletic performance after transition — remains hypothetical. One source frames it explicitly as conditional: "If verified, transgender women who experienced male puberty and later reduced testosterone levels retain physical advantages, particularly in strength-based sports." No claim here supplies direct empirical evidence on transgender athlete performance relative to cisgender athletes post-transition.
Where the evidence splits
Sources disagree on whether myonuclei-based muscle memory is supported by evidence at all. One source's cited comprehensive review and systematic review/meta-analysis conclude there is no clear evidence for myonuclei retention as a muscle-memory mechanism in animal or human studies. Another source describes specific primary studies — a mouse washout experiment, an observational study of steroid users, and a small cross-sectional study — that report myonuclei numbers staying stable or increasing after androgen withdrawal or cessation. The claims do not state why the synthesis-level reviews and the individual primary studies reach opposite conclusions; the difference in evidence tier (secondary synthesis vs. small primary studies, one of them explicitly noted as a small sample) is visible in the claims themselves, but no source reconciles it.
The two epigenetic claims also point opposite directions on persistence versus override, though for different populations. One claim, describing androgenic-steroid users generally, states epigenetic marks "can persist" after steroid cessation. Another claim, addressing GAHT-treated transgender individuals specifically, raises the possibility that such marks "would be easily modified or overridden" by hormonal change. The source presenting the override possibility explicitly labels it debatable and unsupported by empirical data in trans individuals, so this is not a direct empirical conflict — but the two claims describe opposite expected outcomes of hormonal change on the same molecular mechanism, and the sources do not explain why steroid users would show persistence while GAHT recipients might show override beyond the difference in population.
Findings
Muscle memory mechanisms remain unstudied in GAHT-treated transgender individuals
confidence — direction: highconfidence — magnitude: highconsensus: thin — the only source addressing this states the area is unexplored
- mechanism
- not applicable — this is an absence of research, not a measured mechanism
- effect
- no data; the area is explicitly described as unexplored
- conditions / moderators
- specific to individuals undergoing GAHT; not established for any other population
Systematic reviews find no clear evidence for myonuclei-based muscle memory in animal or human studies
confidence — direction: highconfidence — magnitude: highconsensus: contested — leans toward "no clear evidence" per the cited reviews, but conflicts with the primary studies described below
- mechanism
- n/a — conclusion drawn from a comprehensive review and a systematic review/meta-analysis of existing animal and human literature
- effect
- no measured effect; muscle memory is "not observed in many studies or not retained long term"
- conditions / moderators
- general animal and human muscle-memory literature, not specific to transgender individuals or GAHT
Myonuclei numbers remain stable after testosterone withdrawal in mice, even as muscle size returns to baseline
confidence — direction: highconfidence — magnitude: mediumconsensus: thin — single study cited
- mechanism
- myonuclei accreted during androgen exposure are not lost when muscle cross-sectional area shrinks back down
- effect
- myonuclear numbers retained for at least 3 months after testosterone withdrawal, while muscle cross-sectional area returned to baseline within 3 weeks
- conditions / moderators
- mouse model using a testosterone-delivering implant and 1-week washout; translational relevance to humans and persistence beyond 3 months not established
Myonuclei numbers remain stable or increase in humans after androgenic steroid cessation, despite declines in muscle size
confidence — direction: medium (observational) / low (cross-sectional)confidence — magnitude: lowconsensus: thin — conflicts with the systematic-review conclusion above; two small, non-experimental studies
- mechanism
- described as aligning with the myonuclei maintenance premise observed in mice
- effect
- stable myonuclei number per fibre despite longitudinal decreases in muscle cross-sectional area (observational study); higher myonuclei density 4 years after steroid cessation than at baseline (cross-sectional study, small sample of recreational strength trainees)
- conditions / moderators
- populations were androgenic-steroid users (sedentary males, powerlifters, current and former users), not transgender or GAHT-treated individuals; observational and cross-sectional designs cannot establish causation
Epigenetic modifications can persist after androgenic steroid cessation
confidence — direction: mediumconfidence — magnitude: lowconsensus: thin — descriptive claim without primary quantitative data
- mechanism
- DNA methylation and histone acetylation described as molecular imprints of prior androgen exposure
- effect
- persistence stated without quantified duration or magnitude
- conditions / moderators
- population is androgenic-steroid users, not GAHT-treated transgender individuals; source uses the modal "can persist" rather than definitive language
Epigenetic marks from prior training could plausibly be overridden by GAHT's hormonal changes (unconfirmed)
confidence — direction: lowconfidence — magnitude: lowconsensus: thin — explicitly speculative
- mechanism
- proposed hormone-driven modification of previously established epigenetic marks
- effect
- no measured effect — presented as a debated possibility, not a finding
- conditions / moderators
- specific to individuals undergoing GAHT; no empirical evidence cited for trans individuals
Transgender women's physical performance decreases during feminizing hormone therapy
confidence — direction: medium (Air Force data) / high (handgrip/jump data)confidence — magnitude: highconsensus: thin — each figure drawn from a single cited source
- mechanism
- performance loss associated with diminished circulating testosterone
- effect
- up to 31% decline in physical performance over 2 years (U.S. Air Force data); handgrip strength down 7-13% and countermovement jump down 23-29% after 1 year of testosterone suppression
- conditions / moderators
- original study populations and sample sizes not given in the source; described as confirming the association between performance loss and testosterone decline
Whether transgender women retain a performance advantage via muscle memory after testosterone suppression is unverified
confidence — direction: lowconfidence — magnitude: lowconsensus: thin — explicitly hedged hypothesis, not a finding
- mechanism
- proposed retention of strength-relevant adaptations from male puberty via myonuclei/epigenetic persistence
- effect
- not established — framed conditionally ("If verified")
- conditions / moderators
- depends on myonuclei permanence and epigenetic persistence being confirmed in this population, which the sources above say has not been done; no direct empirical evidence on transgender athlete performance relative to cisgender athletes post-transition