CA · Working calls
California Renew State Income Tax Increase for Education Funding Initiative
California Renew State Income Tax Increase for Education Funding Initiative
Lean favorProvisional draft call. The mechanism was checked in the source review; remaining factual checks and uncertainty still matter.
Current assessment
Prop. 3 preserves a high-income tax beyond its 2031 expiration; current official threshold exceeds the old record's inflation-dated figure.
What still needs an answer
- Audit program allocations and marginal incidence before stronger call.
Source check and limits
Official summary estimates $5–15bn annual retained revenue and a $371,000 individual threshold adjusted for inflation. No corporate-tax growth study is treated as direct evidence.
Reference documents
Review dated 2026-09-30. Check current ballot status with your election office. Our principles · Research library